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Thursday 26 July 2007

National Urbanisation Policy : Proper Implementation Needed

Rajesh Man KC
Unplanned and unmanaged urbanisation has become a matter of global concern. Nepal in this regard is no exception. Rapid urban growth without proper management has created urban environmental problems, triggering health and other social problems in the cities. MigrationThe migration of people from the rural to the urban areas is growing rapidly due to the scarcity of employment opportunities and absence of physical infrastructure and law and order in the rural areas. As a consequence, major cities, including Kathmandu, are facing environmental degradation. Mainly, unplanned construction of buildings, increasing environmental pollution, haphazard exploitation of natural resources and the depletion of fertile lands and forest resources are some of the major consequences of unplanned urbanisation.
In this connection, major industrial cities like Birgunj, Biratnagar, Dharan, Pokhara and Kathmandu are facing the risk of environment pollution. And due to the increasing environmental degradation in these cities, should a natural calamity strike, the devastation would be unimaginable. The major cities are growing in such an unsystematic manner that in the event of an earthquake in a city like Kathmandu, there would not even be a safe place to run for cover. Geologists are repeatedly warning that if a disastrous incident like an earthquake of 1934 were to occur in Kathmandu, over 75 per cent of the houses in the capital would be destroyed, besides unimaginable loss of lives and property. However, it would be wise and appropriate to initiate effective preventive measures rather than to worry about such disastrous incidents. Indeed, most of the building structures in Kathmandu may appear beautiful, but physically they are neither secure nor sustainable. This is because most of such buildings are constructed in an unsystematic manner, using low qualitative construction materials and built without properly consulting good engineers or technologists. Instead, old Nepali style buildings constructed with appropriate or indigenous technology using locally available resources as well as raw materials seem more durable, reliable and sustainable.
Thus, the haphazard construction of buildings has resulted in unsafe houses, increasing population pressure, piles of garbage and highly polluting vehicles plying on the narrow lanes and roads of the cities. Also adversely affecting the environment of Kathmandu has been the pollution from the brick kilns, garment and carpet factories.A recent study has shown that increasing air pollution and piles of garbage in the major cities of Kathmandu have given rise to respiratory diseases and heart problems. So if environmental degradation is to continue in the same manner, and urgent preventive measures are not taken, most of the inhabitants of Kathmandu would be affected by fatal diseases.Although the cities are facing environmental problems, the migration of people from the rural areas to the cities has not stopped. Migration has only increased because of the growing violence in different parts of the country. It may be recalled here that the recently published UN report has revealed that the urbanisation process in Nepal is the fastest in South Asian countries. The report adds that the present urbanisation process in Nepal is increasing at the ratio of 4.4 per cent whereas it is 2.2 per cent in Sri Lanka, the lowest in South Asia.
Nepal has one metropolitan city, three sub-metropolitan cities and 58 municipalities, occupying 14 per cent of the total population. According to the 1981 census, Kathmandu Valley had occupied 5 per cent of the total land of Nepal. But in 2001, it had increased to 7 per cent. It shows that the population pressure on Kathmandu is rapidly increasing. And due to the increasing population pressure, the population of Kathmndu Valley has crossed 2.5 million. Obviously, it is not bad or inappropriate for the urban areas to expand, given that the bulk of the population lives in the rural areas. But under the pretext of urbanisation, we cannot undermine the importance of historical and cultural monuments or deplete the forest resources or other natural resources. Hence, it may not be good to expand the urban areas as it only makes them prone to natural disasters or calamities. Code of conductSo it is urgent that we enforce laws and a code of conduct regarding development and construction of buildings in the towns. In this connection, a National Urbanisation Policy has been formulated with a view to managing and systematising the existing urbanisation process and making the metropolitan cities clean, secure and prosperous.
Source: The Rising Nepal, July 26

Diplomacy : What Does The Latest Trend Indicate?

Madhavji Shrestha
It is high time Nepal's politically authoritative players were aware of the recent developments in the diplomatic arena. Very glaringly, the initial years of the 21st century are witnessing the dismantling of the strongly fortified walls of traditional diplomacy. It is evident that the growing supremacy of the common people combined with the enhancement of knowledge on international affairs even among the masses have led to shifting trends in the conduct of diplomacy, which was formerly considered an exclusive business of government-authorised diplomatic officials. Public diplomacyThe fundamental right to information enjoyed by the people in general has also led to the development of this new trend. As a consequence, the much pronounced public diplomacy and track-two diplomacy (people-to-people diplomacy) are fast gaining ground. The first relates to the people's inherent right to remain informed about the government's actions concerning external affairs, and the second is, becoming helpful in making international relations people-initiated to solve problems. Numerous developments can be advanced to support this trend.
Alongside this development, newer concepts and practices are making headway in the realm of diplomacy and its related fields. The old mindset and attitude are giving in to new thinking and approach. Straightforwardness and openness, instead of working behind the screen and remaining aloof in diplomatic business, have now come to stay in recent years. "Soft Power" and "Soft Ear" are now figuring prominently in diplomatic activities around the world. Dr. Joseph S. Nye Jr., a reputed expert on international affairs at Harvard University, is a leading figure who has been propagating the concept of soft power. He says soft power, as opposed to hard power, is "not the power to coerce, bully, browbeat and bribe, but the power to attract, to persuade, to influence through wisdom, example and attentiveness." In the present day world, excessive reliance on the hard power of economic strength and military might for any breathtaking achievement on the diplomatic front is neither recommended nor appreciated by the civilised society. Of course, hard power can still make the day under some unavoidable circumstances, but the solution arrived at through the use of this power will not be ever lasting, nor appear acceptable to all the concerned and affected people. UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon has, in his recently published write-up, put his trust on the wisdom of the soft ear which he has described as "discernment ? seeing a person or situation in the round, the bad with the good, and being able to establish rapport and an effective working relationship despite disagreement, however sharp". He believes in "engagement, dialogue before confrontation." This shows the uprightness of understanding and rapprochement in diplomatic activity. Interestingly, his belief to act accordingly to solve the problems facing the UN at the moment is beyond any doubt and debate.
The development of the softer tendency and behaviour in recent days largely owes itself to the increased awareness of humanitarian consideration. Certainly, this trend would reign supreme and stand above the narrow nationalistic feelings and ethnic divisiveness that still unfortunately torture humans in various underdeveloped regions of this planet. Social consciousness has to grow on a global scale to eliminate anything that frets the human society. Today, human concern is omnipresent in every aspect of global activity. Diplomacy and its relevant concerns are not outside its circumference. In reality, diplomacy is a "human intensive" activity. It is conducted largely through personal communications and individual actions, evaluations and decisions as well as concomitant activity in the course of carrying on diplomatic duties and functions.The requirement of diplomacy for spontaneous human involvement is usually presented as one of the key conditions for the diplomatic success of wider implication and greater dimension. Still the core need of diplomacy is closer human interactions as well as human touch. This, in turn, necessitates more human communications and greater human contacts that greatly depend on skills and abilities learnt and acquired by diplomats in question. The need to measure and examine these qualities should never be sidelined under any circumstance. Importantly, the overriding need to understand intentionality is of utmost significance, whether it be in modern diplomacy or post modern diplomacy. The human component in diplomatic dealings and concerns would never diminish even if one were to rely on the recent tools of information technology. The correct intentionality can be properly judged only if there is sufficient human touch and interaction. No other possibility appears before us than human contact and connectivity.Most recently, diplomacy on the one side is being conducted openly and, so to say, in a transparent way, and is becoming more public oriented. On the other, it requires a human approach to gain success of any consideration despite the predominance being taken away by the rapid development of information technology designed and specifically meant for it. Every nation desiring to send abroad appropriate ambassadors and envoys takes into serious consideration these highly needed qualities.
Virtual diplomacyWhile considered the emerging global environment, the Nepalese government needs to be highly selective in assigning ambassadors and envoys keeping in view the qualities and capabilities required of them in the recently developed context of diplomatic behaviour and practices if any perceptible success is to be expected from them. If not, it would be far better to conduct diplomacy for carrying out any sort of bilateral and international relations and related affairs through the use of e-diplomacy and/or virtual diplomacy through cyberspace. The Foreign Ministry, as the principal agent of the government responsible for conducting Nepali diplomacy, needs to make a definite choice between human intensive diplomacy and an electronics driven one. For the former, the country needs people enriched with well-rounded diplomatic skills and knowledge, whereas for the latter ,diploproject equipped with diploportals should be on hand to see it materialise. Could the authorities at the helm take it as their circumstance-led decision? This must remain very high on the agenda.
Source: The Rising Nepal, July 26, 2007

Wednesday 25 July 2007

Fear psychosis

You reap what you have sown. The Maoists sowed fear during the insurgency, and therefore they are suffering from fear psychosis. For more than a decade, they connived, sabotaged, killed and exploited innocent people in the name of "people's war". The situation has taken a full circle with the Maoists in the government since last year. Time has changed so much that people are prepared to accept the Maoists as a responsible political force. The political parties have provided ample space to them in the parliament and the cabinet, so as to assimilate them into mainstream politics. But the Maoists themselves have been struggling, so far unsuccessfully, to come out of their wartime mindset. They see conspiracy in everything. If they fail to gain confidence, they will start distrusting their own party cadres and well-
wishers.
Last September, the Maoists went on a rampage believing that Nepal Army was bringing three trucks of loaded arms from India. It turned out to be a huge embarrassment for the Maoist leadership when they learnt that the trucks being brought were for the purpose of UN peace keeping mission and were totally empty. Then, they were overreacting to the situation. However, the overreaction has taken the form of fear psychosis. The Maoists have gone to the extent of holding a press conference and are threatening to quit the government just because Nepal Army deployed soldiers for their personal security. The Maoists have claimed that Nepal Army was hatching a conspiracy against them by sending troops trained at the infamous Bhairabnath
battalion.
The concern of the Maoist ministers cannot be completely ignored. They have all the rights to be apprehensive about their own security. However, they have jumped into a conclusion too early. Without cross-checking whether the troops were from Bhairabnath battalion or not, and whether the soldiers deployed for their security were trustworthy or not, the Maoist ministers sought immediate meeting with the prime minister. And when the prime minister refused to entertain them, they held the press conference threatening to quit the government. Meanwhile, Nepal Army issuing a press statement has made it clear that the soldiers deployed for security of Maoist ministers were from Singhanath battalion at Tokha. It is high time the Maoists stopped jumping into early conclusions and kept good faith in the intention of the political parties and the people. They must understand that it was for the sake of restoring peace in the country that the people and the parties brought them into mainstream politics. If the eight parties fail to build trust within the coalition, the country will fail miserably, which will ultimately provide an opportunity for the regressive force to raise its head.
Source: The Kathmandu Post, July 25, 2007

Wednesday 11 July 2007

No Strategy to Fight Maoists

Ashok K Mehta
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is an able and learned man, singly responsible for the economic emancipation and rise of India. But lately he has made some impromptu statements on security which make one wonder whether he is well advised. That Indian Muslims are not immunised against engaging in acts of international Islamist terrorism was exposed last week. Mr Singh's latest defence and loss of sleep over that community's involvement was politically incorrect. It is clear that he and his Home Minister Shivraj Patil take internal security rather lightly; otherwise we ought to have seen some 'terrorist catches' in three years of major terror attacks causing at least 300 deaths.
Not long ago, he told China's President Hu Jintao that the people of India regarded China as their greatest neighbour even after Beijing has repeatedly pressed its claim on Arunachal Pradesh. Last year, at a Chief Ministers' conference, he described the Naxalite/Maoist threat as the single biggest challenge to internal security. Surprisingly, there is no visible action to deal with the Maoist challenge which, according to the former Home Secretary, is not a national problem. That is the reason the Maoist threat has not been met with coordinated and effective State and Central response.
The 1967 Naxalite movement was confined to West Bengal and crushed there in 1970 but its ideology of protracted armed struggle to capture power survived. It spread to Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, Uttar Pradesh and Punjab. Its area of influence has increased from 55 districts in nine States in 2003 to 156 districts in 13 States in 2004, had to 182 districts in 16 States today. The Asian Centre for Human Rights, in its latest Naxal Conflict Monitor, has reported that violence levels are down 45 per cent during the first half of 2007 compared to the same period last year, yet it says the conflict is intensifying due to increase in casualties among security forces. It identifies Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand with the highest levels of violence and attributes the continuing armed struggle to failure of governance and abysmal implementation of schemes and projects.
While Maoist influence is certainly spreading with their claims that by 2010-15, 30 to 35 per cent of India will be under their control, violence levels have temporarily dipped. The threat postulated (actually exaggerated) five years ago by intelligence agencies of a Compact Revolutionary Zone or Red Corridor from Nepal to Andhra Pradesh is a pipe dream, especially after the Maoists in Nepal have upset the ideological applecart by joining the political mainstream. Why did intelligence agencies exaggerate the Red threat?
The contours of change in Maoist grand strategy emerged after its month-long Ninth Unity Congress earlier this year attended by representatives from 16 States. An 'Action Plan' was dramatically unleashed last month through a pincer of a two-day economic blockade and lightening attacks against police stations and infrastructure. The Maoists announced that these were in protest against the Government's economic policies, in particular against the imposition of Special Economic Zones. Both these strategies are leaves out of the Nepali Maoists' 'Peoples War Book' of paralysing the state. That is precisely what the Maoists were able to do to parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Orissa and Chhattisgarh.
In 2006, an economic blockade of smaller intensity had seriously affected commercial activity. This year though, the strategy was bolder - destruction of infrastructure, prevention of movement of strategic minerals like bauxite, iron ore, steel, and partial to total disruption of commercial activity. The economic cost of the Maoist blockade is estimated to be around Rs 1,000 crore. In May, the Bastar blackout cost Chhattisgarh Rs 2000 crore. Targetting infrastructure was a favoured Nepali Maoist tactic that destroyed nearly Rs 500 crore of roads, bridges and telecommunication facilities in a country with so little of it.
The other element of copycat disruption is the Maoists' capability of planning and mounting attacks by up to 2,000 combatants and overwhelming police posts. The Jehanabad jailbreak in Bihar in 2005 and the elimination of Rani Bodli police post in Chhattisgarh in 2007 are powerful reflections of military strength and motivation among the Maoists. The Nepal Maoists are reported to have set up joint training and logistic bases in Champaran, Madhubani and Sitamarhi. All Left-wing extremists including the Maoists in India are known to have links with ISI, DG Inter-Forces Intelligence (Bangladesh) and LTTE, though Nepali Maoists have said they have no connections with them. The irony in the Maoist class struggle is that majority of their victims belong to the very class whose case they espouse.

Citigroup, an international financial services company which monitors Maoist activities, has estimated that without an effective deterrent to contain and roll back their surge, Maoists could not only hamper economic growth but also restrict FDI inflow. At stake could be power projects and steel plants worth Rs 2,640 billion in Orissa and Chhattisgarh. Despite the apparent contradictions in strategy and goals and lack of flexibility compared to their ideological kin in Nepal, the Naxals are a united revolutionary force with mass appeal in rural areas which they hope to extend to urban regions too.

The Maoists' success is the direct outcome of the State and Central Government failures. Whenever the Government has been serious and recognised the problem, it has been able to contain or crush separatist movements from Punjab to the North-East. The inhibition in acting against Maoists does not stem from the fact that law and order is a State subject or that 16 States are involved or that there is a nexus between Maoists, the police and political leaders; it is lack of political will and a national strategy.

On paper there is no shortage of ideas and plans. Nor is there any dearth of funds and structures to address the grievances of people in the tribal areas. Elaborate and high-powered Central and State level task forces have been created, so impressive that the Maoist menace should have disappeared yesterday. Unfortunately, the grand 14-point National Action Plan is just notional. The first line of defence, the State police, has not been empowered to face up to the challenge. There is neither a counter-Maoist operational grid nor a Central intelligence network in the Maoist-affected States. Arming the locals to fight the enemy is not novel and has been experimented from Jammu & Kashmir to Nagaland. In Jharkhand, Orissa and notably the Salwa Judum's self-defence campaign, reportedly a spontaneous movement in Chhattisgarh, have shown erratic success.
Ask anyone following the rise and spread of Maoists in India, the reasons for their growing sophistication in psywar and firepower and increasing sway over tribal and rural folk, you will get this answer - there is no political will, no strategy and failure of implementation. Only yesterday, the Maoists lured security forces in Dantewada, Bastar into a deadly trap. Let us not forget, the Prime Minister has identified the Maoists as India's most serious internal security challenge. Unless we want the Army sucked into Maoist-affected States also, it is high time to make the 14-Point Action Plan work. Meanwhile, a fresh and independent assessment of the scale of Maoist challenge is required to refine strategy.
Source: The Pioneer, July 11, 2007

No strategy to fight Maoists

Ashok K Mehta


Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is an able and learned man, singly responsible for the economic emancipation and rise of India. But lately he has made some impromptu statements on security which make one wonder whether he is well advised. That Indian Muslims are not immunised against engaging in acts of international Islamist terrorism was exposed last week. Mr Singh's latest defence and loss of sleep over that community's involvement was politically incorrect. It is clear that he and his Home Minister Shivraj Patil take internal security rather lightly; otherwise we ought to have seen some 'terrorist catches' in three years of major terror attacks causing at least 300 deaths.

Not long ago, he told China's President Hu Jintao that the people of India regarded China as their greatest neighbour even after Beijing has repeatedly pressed its claim on Arunachal Pradesh. Last year, at a Chief Ministers' conference, he described the Naxalite/Maoist threat as the single biggest challenge to internal security. Surprisingly, there is no visible action to deal with the Maoist challenge which, according to the former Home Secretary, is not a national problem. That is the reason the Maoist threat has not been met with coordinated and effective State and Central response.

The 1967 Naxalite movement was confined to West Bengal and crushed there in 1970 but its ideology of protracted armed struggle to capture power survived. It spread to Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, Uttar Pradesh and Punjab. Its area of influence has increased from 55 districts in nine States in 2003 to 156 districts in 13 States in 2004, had to 182 districts in 16 States today. The Asian Centre for Human Rights, in its latest Naxal Conflict Monitor, has reported that violence levels are down 45 per cent during the first half of 2007 compared to the same period last year, yet it says the conflict is intensifying due to increase in casualties among security forces. It identifies Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand with the highest levels of violence and attributes the continuing armed struggle to failure of governance and abysmal implementation of schemes and projects.

While Maoist influence is certainly spreading with their claims that by 2010-15, 30 to 35 per cent of India will be under their control, violence levels have temporarily dipped. The threat postulated (actually exaggerated) five years ago by intelligence agencies of a Compact Revolutionary Zone or Red Corridor from Nepal to Andhra Pradesh is a pipe dream, especially after the Maoists in Nepal have upset the ideological applecart by joining the political mainstream. Why did intelligence agencies exaggerate the Red threat?


The contours of change in Maoist grand strategy emerged after its month-long Ninth Unity Congress earlier this year attended by representatives from 16 States. An 'Action Plan' was dramatically unleashed last month through a pincer of a two-day economic blockade and lightening attacks against police stations and infrastructure. The Maoists announced that these were in protest against the Government's economic policies, in particular against the imposition of Special Economic Zones. Both these strategies are leaves out of the Nepali Maoists' 'Peoples War Book' of paralysing the state. That is precisely what the Maoists were able to do to parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Orissa and Chhattisgarh.

In 2006, an economic blockade of smaller intensity had seriously affected commercial activity. This year though, the strategy was bolder - destruction of infrastructure, prevention of movement of strategic minerals like bauxite, iron ore, steel, and partial to total disruption of commercial activity. The economic cost of the Maoist blockade is estimated to be around Rs 1,000 crore. In May, the Bastar blackout cost Chhattisgarh Rs 2000 crore. Targetting infrastructure was a favoured Nepali Maoist tactic that destroyed nearly Rs 500 crore of roads, bridges and telecommunication facilities in a country with so little of it.

The other element of copycat disruption is the Maoists' capability of planning and mounting attacks by up to 2,000 combatants and overwhelming police posts. The Jehanabad jailbreak in Bihar in 2005 and the elimination of Rani Bodli police post in Chhattisgarh in 2007 are powerful reflections of military strength and motivation among the Maoists. The Nepal Maoists are reported to have set up joint training and logistic bases in Champaran, Madhubani and Sitamarhi. All Left-wing extremists including the Maoists in India are known to have links with ISI, DG Inter-Forces Intelligence (Bangladesh) and LTTE, though Nepali Maoists have said they have no connections with them. The irony in the Maoist class struggle is that majority of their victims belong to the very class whose case they espouse.
Citigroup, an international financial services company which monitors Maoist activities, has estimated that without an effective deterrent to contain and roll back their surge, Maoists could not only hamper economic growth but also restrict FDI inflow. At stake could be power projects and steel plants worth Rs 2,640 billion in Orissa and Chhattisgarh. Despite the apparent contradictions in strategy and goals and lack of flexibility compared to their ideological kin in Nepal, the Naxals are a united revolutionary force with mass appeal in rural areas which they hope to extend to urban regions too.
The Maoists' success is the direct outcome of the State and Central Government failures. Whenever the Government has been serious and recognised the problem, it has been able to contain or crush separatist movements from Punjab to the North-East. The inhibition in acting against Maoists does not stem from the fact that law and order is a State subject or that 16 States are involved or that there is a nexus between Maoists, the police and political leaders; it is lack of political will and a national strategy.

On paper there is no shortage of ideas and plans. Nor is there any dearth of funds and structures to address the grievances of people in the tribal areas. Elaborate and high-powered Central and State level task forces have been created, so impressive that the Maoist menace should have disappeared yesterday. Unfortunately, the grand 14-point National Action Plan is just notional. The first line of defence, the State police, has not been empowered to face up to the challenge. There is neither a counter-Maoist operational grid nor a Central intelligence network in the Maoist-affected States. Arming the locals to fight the enemy is not novel and has been experimented from Jammu & Kashmir to Nagaland. In Jharkhand, Orissa and notably the Salwa Judum's self-defence campaign, reportedly a spontaneous movement in Chhattisgarh, have shown erratic success.
Ask anyone following the rise and spread of Maoists in India, the reasons for their growing sophistication in psywar and firepower and increasing sway over tribal and rural folk, you will get this answer - there is no political will, no strategy and failure of implementation. Only yesterday, the Maoists lured security forces in Dantewada, Bastar into a deadly trap. Let us not forget, the Prime Minister has identified the Maoists as India's most serious internal security challenge. Unless we want the Army sucked into Maoist-affected States also, it is high time to make the 14-Point Action Plan work. Meanwhile, a fresh and independent assessment of the scale of Maoist challenge is required to refine strategy.
Source: The Pioneer, July 11, 2007