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Sunday 27 May 2007

Nepal conundrum

Paul Soren
It has been over a year since the People's Movement (Jana Aandolan) of April 2006 forced King Gyanendra to abdicate royal throne and hand over the power to the loosely formed Seven-Party Alliance (SPA). That paved the way for the restoration of the dissolved House of Representatives. After that Nepal's peace process advanced rapidly with signing of agreements by the government and Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist). The government had also promised to hold Constituent Assembly (CA) polls by mid-June 2007, which has been deferred to November. However, people still nurse expectations that the nation would have permanent peace and they dream of a life of security. They harbour the hope that democracy would prevail by holding free and fair CA polls, and, subsequently, there would be a new, inclusive and democratic Constitution.

Currently, the situation in Nepal is fragile and there has been serious interruption in the peace process. The parties have developed dissimilar and contesting views on the whole process of state restructuring, monarchy, domestic policies, foreign policy, economy and power sharing. In addition, the Maoist-affiliated Young Communist League (YCL) cadre are engaged in looting and violence; there is continuation of unrest in Terai, demonstration by ethnic groups, Dalits, women and minority groups demanding for genuine space; and, most importantly, Madhesi parliamentarians and Maoists are constantly disrupting House proceedings. These developments carry the potential of derailing the peace process and delaying the election. In fact, Nepal's political transition is in a difficult phase as the government stands like a mute spectator and the parties show rank unwillingness to learn from their past mistakes.

The SPA and Maoists seem to be more concerned about power sharing and less about consolidation peace process in the country. The SPA is unable to resolve the issue of the monarchy and seems willing to give it space in a future arrangement. However, the first sitting of the CA is supposed to decide the fate of the monarchy, but some political parties' inclination as well as external pressure are obstructing the entire peace process. The NC and some rightist groups still harbour a soft corner for royalty. Moreover, the constituents of the SPA are not cooperating with the government to function smoothly. Rather, the parties are accusing each other for the government's failure to hold elections. The Left parties and rights are accusing Nepali Congress (NC) president Girija Prasad Koirala for dilly delaying things. Similarly, the NC, NSP and other rightist forces are blaming the Maoists and the UML for obstructing things.

Though the Maoists have joined mainstream politics, they are making tactical moves to move ahead with their political programme. They are making continuous efforts to make the interim parliament declare a Republic. Gauging the present political environment, Chairman Prachanda's announcement to form a possible Left Front to contest Assembly elections has also received wider acceptance from all other Left parties. The UML has come out openly supporting the Maoists demand for republicanism. This indicates that a new political polarisation is shaping up, and this equation will make differences in days ahead. Presently, the Left parties dominate the interim parliament and if they contest the polls jointly there is a likelihood of them sweeping the polls.

At the moment, the Maoists should not act like other political parties and understand the situation and cooperate. Of late, their acts and moves have raised suspicion of their real motives. The YCL cadres are creating havoc and terrorising people all over the country. The Maoist leadership should know that YCL cadres are getting out of control and they need to be controlled. It is also true that the Maoist combatants and cadres are now getting restless after giving up arms. Therefore, Maoist leaders should know whatever advantage they achieved should percolate down to their cadre at the ground level.

Apparently, the government has not been able to respond positively and cohesively to the demands made by the agitating groups. The demand for proportional representation, autonomy within a federal system and fair deal to the Terai problem demanded by the Teria population and strongly backed by the Terai parliamentarians, the Maoists, Madhesi Janaaadhikar Forum (MJF), JTMM, indigenous groups and other stakeholders is not being addressed properly. The decision-making process within the parties is also not holistic and their opinions seems to be divided.

There is an urgent need for the government to evolve understanding with the parties and other stakeholders for peace to prevail. The government has to act fast, taking into account genuine demands of the people. Moreover, unity among eight parties is a must and they should remain united till the CA election. The bigger parties, especially the NC, NC(D), UML and Maoists need to be extra cautious. In order to consolidate the peace process, the parties should put all their efforts and commitments to establish genuine democracy. Further delay could certainly threaten Nepal's new-found peace.

Source: The Pioneer, May 26, 2007